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No new updates for this week.
Quote
“It does not do to leave a live dragon out of your calculations, if you live near him.”
-J.R.R. Tolkien
My Thoughts
This week I'd like to discuss something slightly different from what I usually talk about.
As some of you know, in my previous career I was an intelligence analyst for 11 years. Five of those years I spent as a military analyst, and the other six were spent on other types of analysis and collection.
During my five years as a military analyst my main area of focus was North Korea and I was an expert in North Korean special operations forces.
Why am I telling you this?
Well, it would appear the situation in Korea is growing more serious. Of course, I no longer have access to intelligence reports but I can do what is called open source intelligence (OSINT) analysis. Based on that analysis I believe the situation is quite dangerous, with a significant possibility of something small (relative to full war) to happen within the next few weeks. That something small has the potential to escalate rather quickly into a full scale conflict.
I am not saying this to scare anyone but just to keep you informed.
Many people think that the government and/or embassies will be able to fully protect them or that there will be some evacuation order issued far in advance of any conflict. It would be a huge error in judgment to believe this will happen.
I encourage all of you to make your own plans to evacuate in case of an emergency.
Here is what I recommend:
-Pack a bag with at least 4 liters of water, chocolate, spam/tuna, maybe crackers, essential documents, a few clothing items, baby wipes, toothbrush & toothpaste (perhaps a razor and shaving cream), lighters, flashlight, and a knife.
-Have cash readily available. I recommend at least 100,000 won but more would be better.
-Have a designated meeting point with friends and/or family. Don't expect the cell network to work.
-Head south.
-If it has escalated into a full scale war, avoid the Yongsan army base area , the Ministry of National Defense, the Blue House, Osan and Kunsan air bases.
Use the undergorund tunnels of the subway to move south.
The military and/or civil defense personnel may direct you where to go.
Again I don't want to scare anyone and I hope none of this will be necessary, but I think it's best to be prepared.
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